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Turtle Trading System 2: A 20-Year Backtest Across 26 Futures Markets

A complete 20-year backtest of Turtle System 2 across 26 diversified futures markets — currencies, rates, energies, metals, grains, softs, and livestock. We analyze the system's performance from 2006 to 2026, expose its weaknesses (6 years of stagnation, low Sharpe in bull markets), and introduce the Turtle Overlay: a portfolio construction approach that combines a 75% SPX / 25% Cash base with the Turtle's uncorrelated P&L on top. Full Python implementation included, downloadable Jupyter Notebook.

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